The New TV deal: Money talks as BT walks!

So finally the SPFL have come to an agreement over the new TV deal something which has been getting discussed far and wide across the Scottish footballing spectrum for the past 18 months or more.

And the winner is…….Sky. That brand that we all know and love with wonderful coverage being provided by the gorgeous Hayley McQueen flanked by the stunning pairing of Kris Boyd and Kris Commons.

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Dream Team

Safe to say it isn’t the winner we wanted. By we, I don’t just mean Celtic fans but all of Scottish football. A recent online poll found that 90% of Scottish football fans surveyed would prefer BT to win the rights as they generally provide superior coverage with far more in-depth analysis and passion for the game up here.

The likes of Chris Sutton, Steven Craigan, Michael Stewart and Ally McCoist might not be everyone’s cup of tea – each one’s popularity usually depending on what team you support – but they sell the game as opposed to Sky who’s coverage often borders on apathetic to the point of disrespect.

Commons was a wonderful servant to the club but he usually gets lost in his own analysis and Boyd wavers from boring to confusion then onto anger and all in one sentence. Either way, both are pretty limited pundits and would be blown out of the water by the BT guys.

Hayley does her best to fit in what she can from her meagre surroundings in the blink and you’ll miss it introduction and post-match analysis segments and there is a general air of disinterest about the whole thing. The general impression is that they can’t wait to get back to their beloved English Premier League

BT, on the other hand, are fronted by wisecracking Darell Curry who is often required to act more like a referee as opposed to a presenter in order to reel in the often hilarious quarrelling that occurs between Sutton and the rest of the panel. Added to that every game no matter how seemingly inconsequential it might appear in the grand scheme of things is given a worthy amount of build-up and analysis so in other words…..respect.

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The BT boys delivering the goods. 

So bearing all that in mind it’s come as a surprise that BT was so easily outbid by Sky and not only that have lost all rights to the Betfred League Cup as well.

That means that BT will in just over 18 months have literally no relationship with Scottish football at all which is pretty shocking considering the effort they have put into promoting the game during these past five years.

Now as much as I would have preferred BT to have gotten the rights the facts are that they refused to put their money where their mouth is. The deal has now been unofficially confirmed as being worth ÂŁ160 million over a five year period beginning the season after next with Sky Sports having inclusivity to all 48 top flight live matches.

I can’t mention my source but all I will say is that he is a board member of a Premiership club. All members were asked to take a final vote yesterday at around 2pm and the decision was unanimous. Some had earlier baulked at Sky’s offer believing the rights could be worth somewhere in the region of ÂŁ40-50 million per season but the facts are that BT’s preference was to continue the current carve-up between themselves and Sky whilst individually investing less and that the likes of Amazon, Eleven Sports etc when sounded out just weren’t really that interested. Sky’s offer of just over ÂŁ32 million per season was by some distance the best financial package and an initial offer of three years was actually negotiated up to five to give extra long-term security. The deal was apparently brokered by a consultant who had been involved in the English Premierships’ last round of TV contract negotiations and he was keen to point out to the members the fact that TV sports rights in the UK across the board are generally decreasing in value as opposed to increasing.

The EPL themselves have seen their own rights tumble pretty dramatically from ÂŁ5.1 billion for a three-year deal to ÂŁ4.775 billion which begins next summer. That’s a drop of ÂŁ325 million, around about ÂŁ108 million a season. Even then those figures are pretty optimistic with some sources claiming the drop was nearer the ÂŁ500 million mark.

The final two packages available in the first round of bids back in February actually went unsold and weren’t negotiated until six months later when Amazon and BT picked up what was left. Not long after Richard Scudamore announced he was stepping down from his role as the EPL’s Executive Chairman which he had held (though previously called Chief Executive) since 1999. Coincidence? Hardly.

As much as I, like just about everyone else it seems,  prefer BT’s coverage the facts are that they were have thrown the kitchen sink at both Champions League and English Premiership TV rights to such an extent that they have hardly any money to invest in anything else. So it shows where their priorities lie. The SPFL is not the only rights they failed to retain as they have also lost the rights to Serie A, UFC and NBA with all being picked up by the new player Eleven Sports.

This unsurprisingly goes hand in hand with the departure of chief executive Gavin Patterson who back in 2013 led BT’s assault on live sports rights. The hope was that impressive sports packages would also entice new broadband customers but this strategy has failed dramatically as the number of new subscribers each quarter having apparently collapsed. As a result at the time of the announcement about Patterson’s future, or lack of, BT’s share price had fallen around 14% over the previous four weeks alone with full-year results showing a 1% drop in revenue, not helped by the company dealing with the aftermath of an accounting scandal at its Italian division, which resulted in a ÂŁ530 million write-down and a major fall in its share price last year.

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Neil Patterson in more affluent times.

Shareholders at BT had wanted Patterson out for some time and with the news, any hopes of BT being capable of competing with other major providers for sports rights renewals went with him.

The new deal will see 48 matches – a reduction from the 60 shown previously between both Sky and BT – all appear on one format each season along with six playoff matches and kicks in the season after next. We can only hope that in that time Sky takes on board the feedback and improve their coverage to match a significantly increased investment.

It’s not only the league games though that BT failed to retain. They’ve also let the Betfred League Cup slip through their fingers and into the hands of Irish broadcaster Premier Sports. Again their coverage there was spot on and they played a big part in changing the format so that it would feature regional league matches played in the summer by teams not competing in Europe. This coverage came at a cost of a measly ÂŁ8 million over four years but was by all accounts much better than the previous deal in place with the BBC. Premier Sports offer whilst apparently better wasn’t significantly so but BT once again failed to invest and just as with the league games their coverage will cease to exist from the summer of 2020 onwards.

The Scottish Cup rights are a whole other kettle of fish with Premier Sports and the BBC sharing them with Sky letting them go, and of course, the BBC has also renewed their deal with the SPFL which will see them retain league highlights as well as showing 20 live Championship games per season starting in a few months, on a new channel, to be unveiled next year.

I’ve seen some people unfavourably comparing the deal to the new one signed by the EFL down south which is a ÂŁ595 million contract over three years. The thing about that is it covers 130 matches per season across three leagues and 72 clubs and also includes League Cup games so actually in the grand scheme of things most English clubs have got a poorer deal than the SPFL.

All in all, it’s more money. How much more is difficult to quantify but we do know that it was widely accepted that the total pot of TV income was ÂŁ21 million last season with ÂŁ17.5 million of that coming from the league TV deal alone. This new deal secures at least ÂŁ32 million per season and could be more when factoring in a new foreign TV rights deal with beIN sports as well as the new Scottish Cup and League Cup deals.

Is it what we wanted? No. But is it the best deal we could get……yes. And just like in every other aspect of life money talks and there was no way Scottish football was walking away from an extra ÂŁ10 million plus per season.

I like BT. We all like BT. But the fact is they obviously don’t like us as much back. That and the fact that they are skint.

Weekend review: Albania 0 – 4 Celtic, sorry Scotland. What the hell just happened?

I took this game in on Saturday evening from the Electric Bar in Motherwell. Not my local but my other half’s who hails from that part of the country. So not dissimilar a setting to Tirana then where the game was taking place.

It proved to be an apt name though as Scotland produced a free-flowing performance, devoid of suicidal defending and where the referee Vladislav Bezborodov actually showed he had a pair and made the rights calls.

Albania tried some neat passing at the back but Ryan Christie was having none of it and stepped in to feed Ryan Christie who charged into the box before curling it past Etrir Berisha in the Albanian goal to make it 1-0 after a mere 14 mins.

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Alex McLeish tries to make sense of that he’s looking at. 

Usually, it would be all downhill from there for the national team but then the Albanian captain, the wonderfully named Mergim Mavraj, stepped up and wrote his name into Scottish football folklore with a fabulous one-two. The first one was a challenge over the ball on James Forrest and the second was an unnecessary headbutt on Ryan Christie. He got a yellow card for each one resulting in an early bath. Did Christie milk it? Probably. But every other nation on God’s green earth does it so for me he was just being streetwise.

From there Scotland took full advantage. An Armstrong free kick on the edge of the box was needlessly handled by striker Rey Manaj and resulted in a penalty which one-time Celtic target Steven Fletcher duly dispatched on the stroke of half-time and Scotland were now really in dreamland.

I, on the other hand, had to depart to the function room next door to join in the 50th birthday celebrations for Elaine – a woman I’d never met before and didn’t actually get to meet during – but was able to get back through under the pretense of needing some fresh air to witness most of the second half which featured a dominant Scotland display that included two more goals both of which were executed by James Forrest.

The first came after the Celtic winger was released through by teammate Ryan Christie before squeezing it past Berisha and the second was a wonderful goal. Christie found Fraser out on the right wing with a beautiful pass from midfield and the Bournemouth man fed Forrest in the box who knocked it up with his right foot past substitute Kastriot Dermaku before buying it past Berisha again with his left.

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Wee Jamesy scores a belter.

There should have been more and substitute Scott McTominay should have done better with an effort from the edge of the box that clipped the bar though replays showed a wicked bobble just before it got to him.

The pub was actually eerily quiet during that second period. Most people sat, pint in hand with their jaw agape wondering what the hell was going on and when they would awaken from their slumber as only a dream state could explain what they were witnessing on the TV screens before them.

All that aside Callum McGregor was magnificent in the holding role that he has also really stood out in for Celtic recently and is a perfect example of playing a guy in a position where he is playing well in for his club and hey presto….it works for the national team as well.

I’m no fan of Big Eck and think he’s made a bit of a pig’s ear of the Scotland job thus far considering the position the national team were in when he took over but some nights it just clicks and Saturday was one of those nights.

Scotland can now win their group if they beat Israel on Tuesday. The Israeli’s have proven to be a  far more capable outfit than hapless Albania and have far better players, especially in the forward positions, but are also renowned for not performing and the momentum is definitely with Scotland as well as the home advantage.

The contribution from the Celtic players was immense with Christie pivotal in three of the four goals and being smart enough to react to Mavraj’s stupidity as opposed to standing his ground and likely getting a yellow himself. McGregor ran the show and Forrest continued the free-scoring form that has seen him bag 26 goals for the Hoops in the last 18 months.

Injuries aside I’d image the exact same team will take to the field on Tuesday night in the group decider. But then again with Big Alex at the helm……..

 

Post-match analysis: Livingston 0 – 0 Celtic plus the weekend’s events.

As predicted Celtic got it pretty tough at the Tony Macaroni Arena out in Livingston on Sunday.

The rain was pouring down in Glasgow as I took my place with seven other hardy souls at an otherwise deserted Crow Tavern to take in the proceedings whilst Remembrance Sunday memorials were taking place at the cenotaph across the road that afternoon and the minute’s silence before the game was impeccably observed much to everyone’s relief.

Let’s be honest the artificial surface that has been installed out at what used to be called Almondvale is not fit for purpose and everyone knows that but fair play to Livingston who with their meagre resources have found a way to put 19 points on the board so far this season and are really well coached under ex-Celtic Gary Holt.

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Holt & Rodgers. Sounds like it could be a new Netflix series.

To the game itself and the men in Hoops looked a little tired which is no surprise given their exertions on Thursday night against a top-class Red Bull Leipzig team who incidentally hammed VfB Stuttgart 3-0 at home on Sunday to leapfrog Bayern Munich into third spot in the Bundesliga.

Indeed the team was unchanged from then apart from Kristofer Ajer replacing Filipe Benkovic beside Boyata in central defence and in the first 45 mins Ryan Christie – who has really stepped up to the plate in the last three weeks and set up Edouard for the winner against the German three days previously – should have scored but his point-blank effort was saved by Liam Kelly in the Livi goal.

In the second half, Celtic created several chances in the last 15 mins with the best of them seeing Rogic crack in a seemingly goal-bound effort from the edge of the box only for that men Kelly again to somehow touch over.

The wonderfully named Dolly Menga should have walked for the home side in the first half for a clear headbutt on Christie at a corner but it went undetected and it’s likely he’ll now receive a retrospective ban for his efforts.

Livingston ran themselves into the ground and threw themselves in front of every ball and it’s difficult to begrudge them a point. Let’s not forget they have only conceded seven goals all season with the second best defensive record in the league only one behind us.

Sadly Kristofer Ajer suffered a broken cheekbone during events and will likely be out for some time as the injury list piles up at Lennoxtown with Scott Brown, Olivier Ntcham, Eboue Kouassi, Leight Griffiths and Daniel Arzani already out.

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Pretty much the story of the match.

The result sees Celtic back to the top of the league on 26 points even with Hearts but ahead on goal difference with a game in hand.

The Jam Tarts were the latest team to fall victim to the incredible spell Steve Clark has cast over Kilmarnock as the Ayrshire club left Tynecastle with a 1-0 victory thanks to a solitary strike from the previously unheard of Ross Millen. That means Clark now has a 54% win ratio after well over 50 games in charge with a team that were serial relegation candidates season upon season before his arrival. Quite incredible.

Aberdeen kept their recent strong momentum going as they defeated Hibs at Pittodrie to climb into the top six via a winning first-half strike from ex-Celtic Gary Mackay-Steven whilst elsewhere St.Johnstone also continued their stunning run of form which started when we massacred them 6-0 a month ago – by hammering Hamilton Accies 4-0.

Basement dwellers Dundee and St.Mirren battled out a 1-1 draw as respective managers Jim McIntyre and Oran Kearney still seek out their first wins in charge of their new-ish clubs.

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The Donegal man sees red as Morelos endears himself to no one.

 

Oh and over at Ibrox Rangers thumped Motherwell 7-1 as the boys in blue bounced back spectacularly from their keystone cops performance over in Moscow on Thursday evening. The match was actually pretty even until Donegal man Carl McHugh was harshly red-carded for two yellows the first of which saw him dare to go within two yards of loveable rogue Alfredo Morelos. The Columbian then appeared to take great delight in McHugh’s second yellow for handball as he clapped in his face. Thereafter the Steelman folded like a cheap suit and the Govan side remain within touching distance of ourselves at the top of the league on 24 points as next month’s Ibrox encounter begins to really start to heat-up.

Anyway, that was the weekend that was. Top of the league so not all bad by any means. Now into the dreaded international break, we go.

Europa League analysis: Celtic superb against Red Bull and now off to the Tony Macaroni.

Well, that was glorious, wasn’t it?

The European performance we’ve all been waiting for from Brendan’s side.

A full 90 mins of passions, desire, precision and above all an end product.

In many ways, it reminded me of our display at home in the Champions League against Bayern Munich last season where we pushed them all the way and deserved victory but somehow came away with a defeat. However this time we got our just rewards.

RB Leipzig were a really good side. Shorn of talents such as star striker Timo Werner, his strike partner Yussuf Poulsen and playmaker Emil Forsberg they still fielded a front three of Bruma, Cunha and Jean-Kévin Augustin who cost a total of €38 million.

They were strong, accurate in the pass and aggressive from the get-go in a way that I hoped we would be but sometimes you just have to accept you’re up against a really good side who sit fourth – a point behind second – in the Bundesliga for a reason.

Celtic gradually got back into the game and a strong run by the in-form Forrest led to a ball spraying across the box where it was met on the left by Kieran Tierney who steadied himself before driving home.

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The Bhoys celebrate the opener.

We then dominated most of the first half but were unable to make the pressure count and Rogic placed one over the bar from the edge of the box after it was laid on by Christie that you would usually fancy him to do better with.

In the second half, the match followed the same pattern with two talented and energetic teams going at it. The post-match possession showed Celtic with 47% and Leipzig with 53% underlining just how evenly matched the contest was though for the best part the Germans were reduced to speculative long-range efforts which whilst always dangerous never really concerned Craig Gordon. However, he did have to make a terrific save from a corner which was met well at the front post by Marcel Sabitzer.

Up the other end Scott Sinclair raced through on goal not long after but failed to pull the trigger and then Edouard harried his way into the box and you thought he’d scored only for the ball to shave the post after taking the slightest nick off keeper Yvon Mvogo’s leg.

You just started to get the feeling it might not be our night with chances like that not being converted.

And that feeling became a reality when Augustin rose to impressively head home a pinpoint cross from Konrad Laimer that caught Lustig sleeping at the back post.

But alas said feeling only lasted 14 seconds as Celtic went rampaging up the pitch from the restart and Ryan Christie crossed for French Eddy to tap home from point-blank range to make it 2-1.

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My thoughts exactly Odsonne.

There were some hairy moments thereafter with Youssouf Mulumbu entering the stage and contributing a chaotic 10 mins in which he looked miles off the pace and continuously misjudged passes and tackles. From this Leipzig were able to break into the box and Kevin Kampl nearly broke the crossbar with a thunderous strike. They say you need a rub of the green to win on nights like this and that was definitely ours.

Anyway, with a great sigh of relief, that’s how it finished and now Celtic need to win in Trondheim against Rosenborg in three weeks to go into the final group game with our hopes of qualification intact. A win there coupled with a Salzburg victory at home to Leipzig would mean the Austrians go into the final group game on 15 points with the group sewn up and likely to rest players for their trip to Glasgow. A draw actually makes them group winners as well so really Leipzig have to win that one. If they do then it’s a straight shootout between us and Salzburg in the final game with Celtic requiring to win 2-0 to progress from a very tough group where Rosenborg have thus far only been spectators. Incredibly though they too can still qualify as well. If they beat us by more than a goal and then give the Germans a pasting at the Red Bull Arena on Matchday Six then they’ll the ones to progress which would be incredible. So let’s hope that doesn’t happen.

Anyway, what a display. So many great performances. Christie is banishing all pining for the departed Stuart Armstrong with his sudden emergence, Forrest is on fire, Rogic was relatively quiet – clearly identified as the danger man and subsequently shackled –  but still looks a class apart at times, Sinclair is refinding his form, McGregor is playing out of his skin, Benkovic looks terrific at the back – shame we can’t keep him – and Tierney was the star man as he relentlessly rampaged up the left-hand side all night.

A fantastic performance that conjured up memories of the heady European nights enjoyed under Martin O’Neill, Gordon Strachan and Neil Lennon and the first time a Brendan Rodgers side has really put it together for 90 mins against top-level continental opposition who were really on their game.

Oh and let’s not forget the much-maligned disco lights which actually helped ramp up the pre-match atmosphere and created a pretty magnificent aesthetic.

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The disco lights played their part.

Anyway, it’s onto tough tackling Livingston for an early kick-off at the idyllic Tony Macaroni Arena on Sunday. A nice little venue that I’ve been to a few times before though back when it was only just called Almondvale.

Livi got off to a flyer under new player-manager Kenny Miller this season that saw him leave after about 20 mins only to be replaced by blink and you’ll miss him ex-Celt Gary Holt who formed part of the memorable Hamilton Cup winning side under Lou Macari back in the balmy summer of 1994 over in Canada.

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That’s Gary down the front with the big trophy. 

He guided the West Lothian side to a pretty remarkable seven league unbeaten run with five wins and two draws which included drawing at Tynecastle and defeating Steven Gerrard’s juggernaut 1-0 at home.

However, they have had a recent reality check with back to back defeats at home to St.Johnstone and away to Hamilton.

Still, expect a tough and physical encounter on a pretty piss poor artificial surface that has more sand on it than a beach in Largs and more pellets than a neglected rabbit’s hutch.

Then we enter the dreaded international break that no one is interested in that will likely see Alex McLeish make more bizarre tactical decisions.

But we’ll cross that bridge when we come to it.

Until then let’s bask in the warm afterglow of our best European display in years.

 

 

 

Europa League preview: Celtic vs Leipzig. It’s do or die time.

Tomorrow night Celtic will limber up for a Europa League clash with Leipzig, or Red Bull Leipzig to give them their full moniker or even RasenBallsport Leipzig e.V. if you’re going to get technical.

Whatever the hell you want to call them the fact is that it’s a ‘must win’ game if we want to maintain any hopes of  European football after Christmas.

There has been a general malaise about Celtic in European football so far this term. Indeed you could’ve said that about the season as a whole but since thumping St.Johnstone 6-0 just over four weeks ago we seem to have kicked on big style domestically with five straight wins scoring a pretty incredible 23 goals in the process with only two conceded. That’s made even more impressive by the fact we’d only scored 10 in our previous eight matches on domestic soil.

We are in another League Cup final and are just one point behind Hearts at the top of the League with a game in hand.

So safe to say the worm has turned.

Of course in Europe though, it’s another story. Having cruised through the first few Champions League qualifying rounds we were disappointingly eliminated by a pretty bang average AEK Athens side and then struggled away against Lithuanian champions FK Suduva before a comfortable win at Celtic Park secured the group stages.

It was a tough draw but after squeezing past Rosenborg on matchday one we have looked decidedly uninspired on the road in our two away games against Salzburg and Leipzig.

So uninspired in fact that we now require a win tomorrow night to stand a realistic chance of continuing onto the Last 32. Indeed a defeat and we’ll be out if Salzburg win or draw in Norway – which let’s face it they are pretty much guaranteed to do – as that would put the Swiss on an unattainable 10 or 12 points whilst we could only match Leipzig’s 9 points but would be out on the head to head.

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Brendan has to get it right on Thursday night.

It’s pretty incredible that we find ourselves in this situation of possible Europa League elimination after only four group games. I mean I’ve grown accustomed to us getting skelped in the Champions League but there you are up against top quality in the likes of PSG, Bayern Munich and Barcelona. Financially they exist in a different stratosphere and although we are still somewhat outgunned by the two Red Bull teams the gap shouldn’t be unbridgeable. But in the two games, we’ve been up against them so far we’ve been pretty easily swatted aside.

Against Salzburg, we played the perfect European away game in the first 45 mins as we scored early, looked difficult to break down and almost had another on the break just before the half-time whistle. In the second half though we inexplicably changed it and lost 3-1 going on five or six. Away in Germany a fortnight ago we similarly looked decent for the opening half an hour and could have been in front before capitulating just before halftime and from there we meekly saw out the rest of the game.

Brendan’s record in home competitions is of course sensational. Only six defeats from 108 games with every domestic tournament he’s entered ending in victory.  He has an 84% win ratio which is pretty incredible. However, on the continent, it’s been a different story.

Very different.

Brendan’s current record stands at a mere 14 wins from 37 matches with 8 draws and 15 defeats. A 38% win ratio. Quite a drop.

Yes, the standard in Europe is better than domestically. We know that.

But as Red Star Belgrade proved on Tuesday night against Liverpool there are ways of taking down a financial leviathan.

The problem is we try and apply our domestic tactics to our continental opposition and that’s the equivalent of taking a knife to a gun fight or in the case of the Champions League a sword to a nuclear arms race.

Just look across the city as a pretty bang average Rangers team have gone unbeaten in 11 matches in Europe and though I suspect that record-breaking run will be ending pretty soon it just goes to show that with the right tactics good results are possible.

Tomorrow night will see the return of several key players such as impressive central defender Filipe Benkovic, James Forrest – who’s already racked up nine goals this season – and most importantly midfield playmaker Tom Rogic. All three were desperately missed in the away game and will be vitally important against our German visitors.

There is, of course, an elephant in the room though. That being Leipzig themselves. They were in impresisve form coming into the last match and since then…….well they’ve continued to do pretty well with two back to back goalless draws away to Augsburg and at home to Schalke 04 followed by last weekends 3-0 away thumping of Hertha Berlin. As a result, they sit in fourth place in the Bundesliga only one point behind Bayern Munich and Borussia Mönchengladbach and five behind unbeaten leaders Borussia Dortmund. They also won 2-1 away to Hoffenheim last week in the second round of the national cup and have suffered only one domestic loss all season, that coming in the opening day to Dortmund.

So that doesn’t bode well but there is salvation and it’s the fact that their three best players won’t feature as according to the Bundesliga website Forsberg (groin), Poulsen (muscular), and Werner (foot) all won’t make it. The thing is though that none of those three featured in the home match either and it made little difference but we were of course shorn of the three I mentioned above.

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Timo floats off injured to the sidelines.

In summation, we’ll be stronger and they’ll remain without their three-star players with Werner missing being a particular bonus as he’s scored four times in his last two matches.

Our record at home in Europe recently has been impressive – five wins and one draw in the last six – but the record against German clubs on the continent is pretty horrific winning only three of  23 encounters and none of our last 10 (D3 L7).

Scary stuff, however, I take comfort in our recent form, our returning players, the personnel they’ll have out and if we can deliver anything like the kind of intensity we produced against Bayern Munich this time last season which was the last time a German club visited Celtic Park then maybe just maybe we can win this one and resurrect the Europa League dream.

It’s a big night for Celtic but an even bigger night for Brendan.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVSFPzYanCI